Quant & forecasting

Forecasting systems, calibration, and agentic research infrastructure.

This section shows analytical breadth: public-signal ingestion, forecasting baselines, model comparison, Brier score, historical backtesting, and verification-heavy reporting.

Flagship analytical systems

Agentic market research and historical sports forecasting.

Agentic market intelligence / quant researchflagship

Agentic Alpha Engine

Local-first agentic market intelligence workbench with public-signal ingestion, retrieval/storage services, planner agents, verification rules, structured reports, and Docker architecture.

Quant / FinanceAgentic AIMLOps / Infrastructure
FastAPIDockerPostgresRedisQdrantMinIO
Sports forecasting / model calibrationexperiment

NFL Sports Forecasting & Backtesting Lab

Sports analytics forecasting and backtesting lab using 25+ years of historical NFL data, Elo baselines, XGBoost, logistic regression, ensembles, calibration, and probability-quality evaluation.

Sports ForecastingResearch / Data ScienceMLOps / Infrastructure
PythonEloXGBoostLogistic RegressionEnsemblesBacktesting

AlphaQuant workbench

Agentic market intelligence as an architecture testbed.

Public signals move through adapters, storage, retrieval, planner agents, verification rules, and report surfaces.

AlphaQuant UI demo GIF

Sports Forecasting Lab

Baselines and probability quality stay visible.

Historical NFL results are framed around model comparison, calibration, Brier score, and backtesting.

NFL forecasting model comparison chart

Architecture

Forecasting and research pipelines need inspectable flow.

AlphaQuant emphasizes agent orchestration and evidence verification. The NFL lab emphasizes baselines, model comparison, calibration, and historical backtesting.

Custom architectureAgentic research stack with storage fabric

A local-first agentic system with separate ingestion, memory, planning, verification, and Fusion report surfaces.

Signal Ingestion

market signalsmacro contextpublic research

Storage Fabric

PostgresRedisQdrantMinIOOpenSearch

Agent Core

plannertool callsstate graphOllama

Verification

rulescitationsFusion reportAPI/UI
Custom architectureForecasting and backtesting pipeline

A model-evaluation architecture where baselines, supervised models, calibration, and historical backtests are visible.

Historical Data

1999-2024 gamesteam statsschedule context

Baselines

Elo ratingshome advantagefeature matrix

Model Stack

XGBoostlogistic regressionensemble

Evaluation

Brier scoreaccuracy tablebacktesting

Responsible use

Research and engineering demos only.

Not investment advice, financial advice, betting advice, gambling advice, live trading automation, or a wagering product.